Golf · resolved market
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd971cfb35ac8466e0e36559a9bddf6c1eab20e03db7657f735a62fccd958238e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 11c | 70,309$7,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,446.92 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 6c | 18,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes | 14c | 5,802$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 12c | 3,888$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 3,756$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 10c | 3,009$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c24bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…a5c7backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 12c | 1,833$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 6c | 1,802$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…1561backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…1609backed Yes | 2c | 1,446$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…331dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,005$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 899.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…8f8abacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 6c | 638$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 11c | 500.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda06…75d9backed Yes | 10c | 450$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 6c | 433$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…e78ebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…a568backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…980dbacked Yes | 12c | 334$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 325$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…bdf7backed Yes | 4c | 310.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed Yes | 12c | 233.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…c6ccbacked Yes | 12c | 226.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…6808backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…243dbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…c1e0backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…4ac7backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…34bebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…9785backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…6e0bbacked Yes | 12c | 174.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…2638backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…2e80backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 12c | 165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…ee33backed Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 12c | 141$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8994…1bd7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Carlos Ortiz win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tony Finau win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.