TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd026…1245

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$91.6
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+325.5%+$130.21
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$92.5
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+93.9%+$60.07
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$51.75
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+133.4%+$162.75
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.4
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+481.4%+$828
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$103.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+136.7%+$115.5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$412.5
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$783
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.5
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$161
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$214.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.75
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+1,566.7%+$470
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.5
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$119
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+118.2%+$81.25
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.5
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$390
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$124.5
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$15.96
Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+227.4%+$385.5
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+318.6%+$614.89
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.5
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
UConn vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+85%+$84.98
Will St. John's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.