NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29fb319cd7f3436ff5e784650581e8f250ce23d219aa5dbf80fd3d33cfbb638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 23c | 37,944$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780.07 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Warriors | 48c | 33,502$15,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,920.79 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 21,596$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Suns | 54c | 21,515$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,872.46 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 49c | 21,420$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,397.67 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Suns | 53c | 7,150$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Warriors | 46c | 7,121$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.7 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 0c | 6,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 2c | 5,145$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Warriors | 16c | 4,822$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.15 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 4c | 4,756$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Warriors | 42c | 4,453$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Suns | 58c | 3,814$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.59 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 15c | 3,644$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Warriors | 3c | 3,482$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Suns | 70c | 3,432$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.95 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 16c | 3,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Warriors | 22c | 3,015$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.37 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Suns | 68c | 2,862$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Warriors | 43c | 2,852$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.79 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Suns | 55c | 2,766$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.18 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Suns | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 4c | 2,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 64c | 2,241$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Warriors | 6c | 2,229$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Suns | 51c | 2,198$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Suns | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed Suns | 76c | 1,913$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Warriors | 22c | 1,911$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.42 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Suns | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.42 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,821$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.27 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Suns | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…cadfbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Suns | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 47c | 1,496$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.24 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,461$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.15 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Warriors | 31c | 1,385$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 46c | 1,330$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.83 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 47c | 1,288$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.32 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,275$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Suns | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 31c | 1,250$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Suns | 63c | 1,242$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Warriors | 28c | 1,176$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.96 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 53c | 1,162$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.62 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Warriors | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Suns | 79c | 1,076$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 49c | 1,075$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 28c | 1,074$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Suns | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Warriors | 45c | 1,028$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.6 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 1c | 1,004$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Warriors | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…003ebacked Warriors | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…8f2bbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Suns | 51c | 998.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.51 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 47c | 990.91$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.36 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…90f3backed Warriors | 10c | 926.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Warriors | 44c | 917.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Suns | 66c | 895.99$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.98 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Warriors | 17c | 882.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 3c | 850$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Warriors | 43c | 818.79$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.08 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Suns | 51c | 784.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.32 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Warriors | 47c | 776.86$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Warriors | 47c | 763.95$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.42 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Warriors | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 26c | 684.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 24c | 680$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Suns | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Warriors | 42c | 651.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Warriors | 20c | 636.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Suns | 54c | 630.44$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Suns | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 49c | 609.37$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…1674backed Suns | 51c | 607.85$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Suns | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Warriors | 29c | 599.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns | 51c | 562.53$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.06 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Warriors | 48c | 549.92$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Warriors | 43c | 521.59$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Warriors | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Suns | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Suns | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Warriors | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.