NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85e6384d70d6c4554933012b3706dc6be564da7457e86d6257a6dbff55de47a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Browns, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $961,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,003,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $961,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Browns | 23c | 118,377$27,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,609.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Browns | 68c | 81,102$55,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,925.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals | 58c | 73,983$42,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,844.9 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bengals | 78c | 50,267$39,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,223.7 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bengals | 77c | 42,920$33,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,237.49 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Browns | 21c | 40,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,599.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Browns | 21c | 30,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,699.97 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Browns | 60c | 28,954$17,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,474.35 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Browns | 50c | 26,300$13,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,146.42 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Bengals | 57c | 25,725$14,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,760.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Browns | 42c | 22,400$9,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,947.07 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bengals | 76c | 20,694$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,756.15 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Bengals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bengals | 63c | 18,496$11,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,564.95 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Browns | 44c | 17,694$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,886.65 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Bengals | 1c | 16,658$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…17d8backed Bengals | 1c | 16,046$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bengals | 76c | 15,927$12,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,103.27 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bengals | 50c | 15,417$7,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,766.61 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Browns | 22c | 15,070$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,778.99 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Browns | 38c | 14,859$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,233.3 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bengals | 60c | 13,680$8,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,209.34 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bengals | 76c | 12,134$9,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,222 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Browns | 27c | 11,225$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,153.63 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Bengals | 79c | 10,127$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Bengals | 79c | 10,030$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,923.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Bengals | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Browns | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Browns | 23c | 9,732$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.88 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Browns | 50c | 9,000$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 42c | 8,972$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.93 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Bengals | 59c | 8,234$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bengals | 76c | 7,965$6,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033.52 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Browns | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Browns | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bengals | 79c | 7,000$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bengals | 50c | 6,346$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.96 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bengals | 76c | 6,162$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.12 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bengals | 58c | 6,129$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.78 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bengals | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Bengals | 76c | 5,040$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…cb44backed Bengals | 79c | 5,028$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Bengals | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Browns | 73c | 4,640$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Browns | 45c | 4,588$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.41 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Browns | 44c | 4,523$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.86 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Bengals | 79c | 4,430$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Browns | 41c | 4,367$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Bengals | 76c | 4,200$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Bengals | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.96 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Browns | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.77 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Bengals | 79c | 3,941$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.53 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Bengals | 79c | 3,873$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bengals | 53c | 3,823$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.39 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bengals | 38c | 3,665$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.59 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Bengals | 43c | 3,499$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bengals | 58c | 3,450$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.47 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Bengals | 57c | 3,416$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.73 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Browns | 45c | 3,373$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.05 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Browns | 24c | 3,298$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.71 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Bengals | 63c | 3,100$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bengals | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Browns | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Bengals | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Browns | 17c | 2,989$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Browns | 38c | 2,945$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.36 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bengals | 77c | 2,819$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.63 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Browns | 43c | 2,817$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.43 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Browns | 25c | 2,688$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Browns | 51c | 2,647$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Browns | 36c | 2,603$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.92 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Browns | 50c | 2,595$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.94 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Browns | 47c | 2,527$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Bengals | 76c | 2,520$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Browns | 42c | 2,477$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.29 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Browns | 32c | 2,367$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…f48ebacked Bengals | 68c | 2,345$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bengals | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Bengals | 52c | 2,327$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.86 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bengals | 49c | 2,321$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.85 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Browns | 24c | 2,279$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…b315backed Bengals | 70c | 2,228$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…cfaebacked Bengals | 3c | 2,086$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…96d7backed Bengals | 1c | 2,062$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Browns | 21c | 2,002$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.57 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.98 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Browns | 50c | 1,998$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.53 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Bengals | 65c | 1,993$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Browns | 52c | 1,983$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.69 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bengals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Bengals | 64c | 1,951$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Browns | 51c | 1,941$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Bengals | 29c | 1,880$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.1 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Browns | 57c | 1,846$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.73 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Browns | 52c | 1,820$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Browns | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Bengals | 76c | 1,720$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Bengals | 3c | 1,700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bengals | 79c | 1,699$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.53 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Bengalsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bengals (-4.5)Browns won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 43.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 47.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Bengals (-6.5)Browns won
- Spread: Bengals (-7.5)Browns won
- Spread: Bengals (-8.5)Browns won
- Spread: Bengals (-9.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.