NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf104b9be3f3a17f04440dc84ffdfe4c39e72ee5e2be31719326af33c8e7175e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Bengals, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 48c | 69,271$33,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,020.78 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bengals | 52c | 27,685$14,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,396.41 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bengals | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Browns | 52c | 17,951$9,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,616.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bengals | 52c | 13,806$7,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,179.07 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Bengals | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Bengals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 48c | 5,714$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.02 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 51c | 5,197$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.58 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Browns | 48c | 3,152$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.11 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Browns | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Browns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bengals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bengals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bengals | 52c | 1,551$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.72 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Browns | 50c | 805.75$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bengals | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Browns | 48c | 640$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Browns | 53c | 632.6$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Bengals | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…e283backed Bengals | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bengals | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Browns | 52c | 448.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Bengals | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bengals | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bengals | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bengals | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Browns | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Bengals | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Browns | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bengals | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Browns | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Bengals | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Bengals | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Browns | 49c | 236.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…a714backed Browns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Bengals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Bengals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Bengals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Browns | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Bengals | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Bengals | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Bengals | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Bengals | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Bengals | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bengals | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Bengals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Bengals | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Bengals | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Browns | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Browns | 49c | 68.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Browns | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Bengals | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Bengals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Bengals | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Browns | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Bengals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…d9f6backed Bengals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…1e3abacked Browns | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Bengals | 48c | 31.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Bengals | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Bengals | 48c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Browns | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bengals (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bengals (-4.5)Browns won
- Browns vs. BengalsBrowns won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 43.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 47.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Bengals (-6.5)Browns won
- Spread: Bengals (-7.5)Browns won
- Spread: Bengals (-9.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.