NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bengals (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ce08084b5b501988738675d6fbed39b829506c0d9ee48d8c156c9c04bdfb4e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Brownsof Bengals, Browns
Resolved: Jan 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $212,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $228,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Browns	46c	42,748$19,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,272.99	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Browns	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,200	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bengals	54c	28,922$15,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,617.97	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Browns	46c	23,246$10,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,562.87	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bengals	54c	18,916$10,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,292.99	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bengals	55c	18,241$9,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,955.8	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals	54c	15,829$8,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,530.2	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bengals	52c	15,590$8,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,064.54	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Browns	49c	10,981$5,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,564.22	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Browns	46c	10,870$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,869.57	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bengals	54c	10,233$5,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,546	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bengals	55c	9,326$5,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,129.53	176	48.9%86 W · 90 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bengals	52c	6,084$3,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,178.67	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Browns	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,240	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Bengals	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Browns	50c	4,860$2,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,429.88	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Browns	46c	4,038$1,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,181.68	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Browns	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bengals	54c	3,721$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.41	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Browns	46c	2,606$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.25	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Bengals	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Browns	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.99	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bengals	55c	1,851$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.11	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Bengals	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bengals	54c	1,814$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.56	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bengals	54c	1,544$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.76	314	50%157 W · 157 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Bengals	54c	1,500$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Browns	46c	1,300$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Browns	48c	1,242$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.39	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Bengals	55c	1,118$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bengals	54c	1,018$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.72	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Browns	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Browns	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Browns	76c	700$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Browns	46c	652.17$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.17	166	48.2%80 W · 86 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bengals	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	362	46.7%169 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Bengals	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bengals	53c	496.48$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.76	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Bengals	54c	434.78$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.78	194	59.3%115 W · 79 L	+15.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Browns	49c	406.12$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.6	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Bengals	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bengals	55c	340.63$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.35	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Bengals	50c	328.68$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.34	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Bengals	50c	309.8$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.8	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Bengals	55c	291$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.05	304	42.4%129 W · 175 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Browns	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bengals	54c	240.42$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.83	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Bengals	55c	226.97$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Browns	47c	223.89$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.66	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Browns	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Browns	46c	217$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.8	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Browns	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bengals	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Bengals	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Browns	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+5.1wins	+0.29per pick	49cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Bengals	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Bengals	54c	190$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bengals	17c	183$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	356	48%171 W · 185 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Bengals	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Bengals	55c	147.62$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.92	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed Browns	46c	130.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+4.2wins	+0.42per pick	38cpaid	+104%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Browns	47c	127.66$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.66	110	48.2%53 W · 57 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Browns	46c	121.98$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.87	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Browns	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…dffcbacked Browns	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Browns	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Browns	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Bengals	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a7…a42bbacked Browns	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Browns	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	243	52.7%128 W · 115 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Browns	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	124	47.6%59 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Bengals	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Browns	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Bengals	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-8.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8783…7624backed Bengals	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196a…f34fbacked Browns	47c	96.67$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.67	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Browns	46c	96.51$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.82	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Browns	46c	94.11$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.82	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Browns	47c	91.96$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.74	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Browns	46c	85.86$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.36	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Bengals	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Browns	46c	72.51$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.16	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb3…21b7backed Browns	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe6…2f03backed Browns	47c	62.87$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.32	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Browns	46c	60.26$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.54	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Browns	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Browns	47c	58.11$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Bengals	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Browns	47c	53.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.58	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Bengals	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Browns	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa158…384abacked Browns	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x284d…7ec9backed Bengals	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Bengals	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Browns	49c	47.95$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.56	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Browns	48c	46.77$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Bengals	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Bengals	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Browns	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bengals (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event