TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37a7…a42b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+74%+$152.17
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$609.76
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$240.2
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+130.6%+$56.18
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+110.3%+$77.2
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Vikings (-9.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Vikings (-10.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+215.8%+$107.9
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$303.02
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.15
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+106.7%+$83.22
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.2%+$121.26
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.3%+$50.86
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+321.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+321.6%+$1,328.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.