TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Georgia (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ole Missof Georgia, Ole Miss
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,204,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,267,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,204,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Ole Miss52c527,405$272,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254,451.042245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Ole Miss53c459,796$243,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,104.234738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Georgia48c343,395$163,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163,122.9221055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Georgia48c300,526$143,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,740.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Georgia47c280,760$131,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,956.983275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Georgia48c200,000$95,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Ole Miss53c186,838$99,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,813.74825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ole Miss50c183,331$92,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,988.4193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Georgia48c160,355$77,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,217.2829249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia48c142,908$68,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,874.9652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Ole Miss52c62,489$32,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,994.513857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Ole Miss50c57,707$29,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,633.362763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Georgia49c45,301$22,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,347.445851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ole Miss53c32,522$17,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,285.536046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Ole Miss54c23,239$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,738.891136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia54c21,267$11,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,471.6762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia49c20,612$10,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,009.7352641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ole Miss52c19,954$10,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.923158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Ole Miss53c18,957$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,957.492040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Ole Miss53c18,788$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,787.861450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Georgia48c18,526$8,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,892.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Georgia48c17,995$8,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,637.5138546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Georgia49c17,850$8,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,720.429457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia48c17,074$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1162,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ole Miss52c15,000$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,25039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Georgia47c12,690$6,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,025.0122750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Georgia49c12,245$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Georgia48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Georgia54c11,945$6,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,390.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Georgia48c11,268$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.8120450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Georgia47c10,716$5,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,083.6610848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Ole Miss51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9919849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss52c9,979$5,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.6838450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Ole Miss52c8,500$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,06511854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Georgia48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ole Miss52c7,703$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.724551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ole Miss45c6,622$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.0626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Georgia49c6,125$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ole Miss53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21a…c0c6backed Georgia50c4,891$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Georgia47c4,793$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.2358850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Ole Miss53c4,256$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Georgia49c4,148$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x227e…e118backed Ole Miss51c4,118$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Georgia55c3,880$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.414836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Georgia48c3,832$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.183342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Ole Miss53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.583060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Georgia48c3,599$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.6711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…1eacbacked Ole Miss53c3,558$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.491747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Georgia46c3,500$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.93336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0292…4211backed Georgia48c3,131$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ole Miss51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.994643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia54c2,931$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.5220553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Ole Miss52c2,753$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.242458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Georgia47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1755942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Ole Miss49c2,263$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Georgia51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12210047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Georgia47c2,094$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.291968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Georgia48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Georgia48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe639…9122backed Georgia54c2,004$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.911844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Ole Miss52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Georgia50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Ole Miss52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.997448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Ole Miss64c1,952$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.335137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Ole Miss53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.798348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Ole Miss53c1,883$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8852544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Ole Miss57c1,757$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.635565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Georgia48c1,700$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Ole Miss49c1,691$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.547443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Georgia48c1,619$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7774751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Ole Miss52c1,420$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.9988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+65.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Georgia47c1,324$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.811650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Georgia51c1,302$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Ole Miss53c1,145$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.12347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f7…8696backed Georgia49c1,050$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f11…157abacked Georgia48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Ole Miss53c1,036$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.121233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ole Miss53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8711142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Georgia48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Ole Miss53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d52…47c5backed Georgia60c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-56.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Georgia49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Georgia47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Ole Miss52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Ole Miss53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Georgia49c918.37$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Georgia48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43215734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Ole Miss52c843.5$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Georgia48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Georgia48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005149%25 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Georgia51c800$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4111330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Ole Miss51c770$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c9…1dafbacked Georgia50c770$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Ole Miss46c746.12$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ole Miss40c744.94$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.1386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ole Miss53c739$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5711149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Georgia47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.54250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Ole Miss54c642.06$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Georgia49c636.54$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.95556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.