TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6f7…8696

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$15.37
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.71
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.11
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.75
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4.26
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+43.5%+$21.77
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.1
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brisbane International: Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+123.6%+$61.81
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+113.6%+$52.45
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadeckibacked Gadecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazuabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+45.8%+$22.91
Brisbane International: Clara Tauson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brisbane International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegulabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brisbane International: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+83.2%+$16.24
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.34
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Laslo Djere vs Marcos Gironbacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Michael Mmohbacked Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.16
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Yibing Wu vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.69
ASB Classic: Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazuabacked Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.6%+$61.28
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.79
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+368%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+211%+$633.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.