College Football · resolved market
Spread: Duke (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57fbc3d6bd90cb87783e8faf56760ea4029044a288d2c4492d4788cdde25f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof Duke, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $783,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $847,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Arizona State | 51c | 329,292$166,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,937.96 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Duke | 51c | 153,417$77,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,639.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Duke | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,499.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Arizona State | 54c | 110,000$59,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,599.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Arizona State | 51c | 75,949$38,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,214.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Duke | 48c | 58,130$27,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,663.7 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Duke | 48c | 49,072$23,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,554.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Arizona State | 55c | 45,461$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,461.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Duke | 46c | 43,382$19,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,955.86 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Duke | 49c | 34,082$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Duke | 49c | 30,860$15,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,121.46 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Duke | 48c | 29,505$14,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,287.02 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Arizona State | 53c | 24,474$12,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,504.52 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Duke | 49c | 13,955$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,838 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke | 46c | 13,118$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.04 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Arizona State | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Duke | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Duke | 46c | 8,925$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.5 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arizona State | 52c | 7,597$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.63 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Arizona State | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Arizona State | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Duke | 49c | 5,370$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.56 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b7b1backed Arizona State | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke | 45c | 3,898$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.1 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arizona State | 49c | 3,419$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.69 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Duke | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Duke | 45c | 2,448$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Duke | 48c | 2,245$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duke | 46c | 2,182$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.77 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Duke | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Arizona State | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Duke | 40c | 1,901$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.27 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke | 46c | 1,804$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.52 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona State | 48c | 1,609$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.56 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Arizona State | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Duke | 49c | 1,209$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Arizona State | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Duke | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Arizona State | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Duke | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Arizona State | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Duke | 49c | 888$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Duke | 45c | 877$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.65 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Arizona State | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Duke | 46c | 645.44$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Duke | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Arizona State | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona State | 54c | 546.53$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Arizona State | 49c | 513.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Arizona State | 51c | 493$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Arizona State | 51c | 486.54$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Duke | 46c | 458.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke | 47c | 410$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Duke | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Duke | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Duke | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…c4f6backed Arizona State | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Duke | 46c | 381$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Arizona State | 49c | 350.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Duke | 50c | 332.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Arizona State | 51c | 325.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked Duke | 49c | 324$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Arizona State | 52c | 320.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duke | 49c | 293.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…41b5backed Duke | 48c | 291.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Duke | 49c | 285.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona State | 51c | 280.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Arizona State | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arizona State | 51c | 252.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Arizona State | 53c | 244.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Arizona State | 54c | 236.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Duke | 49c | 236.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Arizona State | 52c | 230.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Arizona State | 51c | 226.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Arizona State | 52c | 216.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arizona State | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Duke | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…c908backed Duke | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Duke | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Arizona State | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Duke | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Duke | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Arizona State | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Duke | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Duke | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Arizona State | 51c | 196.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…8716backed Duke | 53c | 189.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Arizona State | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Arizona State | 50c | 157.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Duke | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Arizona State | 51c | 143.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…8a1abacked Arizona State | 52c | 139.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Arizona State | 54c | 134.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed Arizona State | 52c | 129.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Duke | 45c | 128.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Arizona State | 48c | 127.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 48c | 123.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Arizona State | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Duke | 49c | 116.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke (-3.5)this page
- Arizona State vs. DukeDuke won
- Arizona State vs. Duke: 1H MoneylineDuke won
- Arizona State vs. Duke: O/U 47.5Over won
- Arizona State vs. Duke: O/U 48.5Over won
- O/U 49.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.