TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rublevof Rublev, Wu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$452,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wu28c58,803$16,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,331.2580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wu41c46,413$19,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,1792,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Wu23c25,008$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.893336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Wu51c21,644$11,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,017.1910444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Wu52c19,377$9,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9864647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Rublev40c15,000$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,049.984841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rublev71c14,727$10,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.4158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wu46c12,916$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.7911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wu27c11,667$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.728,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Rublev49c11,601$5,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,964.693268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Rublev63c11,440$7,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Rublev69c10,795$7,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.2418047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a45…93d2backed Wu0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rublev58c9,334$5,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.311,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Rublev63c9,000$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3307357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Rublev65c7,521$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.2636968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rublev58c6,974$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.151,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rublev65c6,874$4,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.711,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Wu56c6,371$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.066150.8%31 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Wu52c6,000$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.076549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wu43c5,490$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.522,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…bb31backed Wu20c5,300$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Rublev66c5,155$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.7165459%386 W · 268 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rublev58c4,897$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.096,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2663…fa3bbacked Wu37c4,761$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Rublev44c4,512$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.931647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rublev55c4,488$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.024,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Rublev46c4,370$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.795349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wu18c4,201$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.152,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Rublev60c3,950$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.5544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa64…bf96backed Wu60c3,335$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Rublev42c3,080$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.785851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Wu35c3,000$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.2510252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Rublev69c2,895$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rublev56c2,869$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.8244754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Wu58c2,595$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.621147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Rublev56c2,580$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.663745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Wu1c2,578$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.361136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rublev53c2,566$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.4975648.7%368 W · 388 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Wu49c2,465$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.474247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Rublev63c2,360$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.955265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Rublev42c2,357$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.3229454.8%161 W · 133 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Rublev58c2,242$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev63c2,200$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.9966649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Wu57c2,012$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.576043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Rublev39c1,928$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.822650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0d…cce6backed Rublev44c1,900$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.181040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wu36c1,687$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.852,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Wu1c1,557$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.663627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Rublev66c1,550$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.865164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Rublev68c1,481$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9415862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Rublev38c1,315$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.3711215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Rublev67c1,313$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.4313260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Rublev68c1,228$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.941,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wu38c1,202$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7655143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Rublev37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.972729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Rublev63c1,055$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.674266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rublev37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Rublev41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f31…3e23backed Wu60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5a…6021backed Rublev40c999.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+189.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Wu33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9940141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Wu55c991$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Rublev68c989.15$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Wu34c984.76$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7712627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Wu44c922.68$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.742,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Rublev42c909.6$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.061471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Rublev43c831.34$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9970857.5%407 W · 301 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Rublev62c812$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.886250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Rublev49c797.8$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Rublev51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3114546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Rublev62c779.27$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1219152.4%100 W · 91 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd543…2862backed Rublev63c777.78$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Rublev45c759.42$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9225556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Wu37c750$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.51,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Wu43c718.85$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.141,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Rublev42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.296159%36 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Wu4c708.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.718740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rublev44c685.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.471,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…fd24backed Wu57c684.23$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.012552%13 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b86…d8dcbacked Rublev40c669.58$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Wu47c642.18$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1114947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Wu7c640.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.218713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Rublev62c624.53$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.326756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Rublev41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3548446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Rublev42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2422744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Rublev42c591.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev64c590.15$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.242,33246.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Rublev51c585.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6917840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Rublev62c585.61$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Wu55c552.11$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4463247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Wu49c542.29$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7512752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wu33c504.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.827,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Rublev66c498.22$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.222,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Rublev67c491.61$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2810059%59 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Rublev43c488.24$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8910252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Wu57c484.48$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27826158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Wu57c481$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.86058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Rublev42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.193342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Wu60c457.48$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.