TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb5a…6021

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.99
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+99%+$497.45
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.35
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.85
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$2,555
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$324.99
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117.57
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$135
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+189.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$735
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$765.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.