TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNC Asheville Bulldogsof Longwood Lancers, UNC Asheville Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb5a…6021backed Longwood Lancers38c2,000$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ec…4a35backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs80c1,434$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2815861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Longwood Lancers26c1,185$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8742327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Longwood Lancers16c615.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.511,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Longwood Lancers17c589.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Longwood Lancers16c472.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6614021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Longwood Lancers42c472.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.621,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs68c379.45$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.855,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Longwood Lancers19c344.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.052,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Longwood Lancers32c312.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Longwood Lancers43c300.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Longwood Lancers36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c251.14$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Longwood Lancers38c241.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.66443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Longwood Lancers42c214.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Longwood Lancers21c205$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9938343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Longwood Lancers17c177$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Longwood Lancers37c170.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.462,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs79c153.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.162356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs79c141.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.321,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Longwood Lancers43c139.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.061,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs74c137.44$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.731,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs59c116$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.566750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs65c113.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.874,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Longwood Lancers42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs62c82.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370b…5f2cbacked Longwood Lancers43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs69c71.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Longwood Lancers22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.74254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs58c56.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs66c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.76546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs78c39.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Longwood Lancers34c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.543053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs62c29.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Longwood Lancers37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Longwood Lancers41c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs58c19.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1821535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.