TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x370b…5f2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Earnings, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$41.62
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$1,052.08
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.9%+$19.89
USD - Korean Won exchange rate hits 1,500 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+159.1%+$39.77
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+194.6%+$204.29
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+253%+$397.27
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+326.7%+$98
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.34
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$702.64
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+174.1%+$60.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$747.51
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+124.3%+$55.92
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+189.7%+$237.11
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+201%+$261.27
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+45.5%+$22.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Big Game: First Timeout?backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44%+$29.46
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+740.3%+$74.03
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+160.4%+$48.12
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+48.2%+$117.65
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156.54
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$265.9
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$99.12
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$158.39
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$40.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+136.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$55.32
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$62.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$51.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.