TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes76c56,023$42,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,556.222748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c37,840$9,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,420.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c22,684$6,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,034.616,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c11,887$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.594,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c8,682$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.811305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No14c8,512$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.2617745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes72c8,399$6,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.933551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No1c8,199$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.19110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes72c6,926$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.831,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No27c6,296$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No25c5,501$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.1825752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes71c5,427$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.5123350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes72c5,340$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No28c5,301$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.2710057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes67c5,100$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.022850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes70c4,969$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.8219729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes71c4,168$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.469154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No28c4,036$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.831,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No25c3,919$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.71,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes73c3,720$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.914050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes72c3,328$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.7325648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No25c3,000$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.263053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No27c2,906$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.211,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes72c2,709$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.5815257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f87…c664backed Yes74c2,595$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No23c2,525$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.8249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No26c2,498$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No26c2,387$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.872,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No28c2,323$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.543046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No28c2,310$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.773450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes77c2,099$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9613944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No28c1,817$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Yes73c1,730$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.162650%13 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No2c1,663$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1122040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No26c1,616$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.462429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No15c1,611$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.656334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes77c1,480$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.871457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes72c1,388$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No26c1,348$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4810335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes73c1,126$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8118239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Yes74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.083458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes75c971.65$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.363941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes71c906.27$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3877236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…ebbbbacked Yes74c871.49$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes74c850.27$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.076538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes73c820.13$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.661435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes73c819.91$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.382462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes72c804.72$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.325048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No30c748.41$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.659141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes72c736.11$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.116233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes75c727.61$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No27c717.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2713447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes70c713.33$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.913337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No5c599.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817017.6%30 W · 140 L-27.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes75c577.33$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3325057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes67c547$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No22c522.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a34…959bbacked Yes77c517.2$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.482152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No28c499.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14114342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes71c496.36$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No24c495.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.858226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No26c489.39$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.810051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes71c465.71$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1614252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No15c442.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes79c442.23$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9318251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes74c436.65$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.535754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes71c406.27$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.877343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed Yes73c372.5$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2564…08c2backed Yes79c367.06$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed No27c363.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes72c360$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.83935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c46…2d02backed Yes76c356.76$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.624654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed No29c339.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.591428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes72c330$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No29c305$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes66c303.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.045280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes73c300$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ef48backed Yes72c278.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.786654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.785855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick74cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No7c269.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9511712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes75c269$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.16325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes75c268.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.13847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No23c267.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8111324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No24c260$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No24c254.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3520931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes77c250$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No25c250$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2515347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked No26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes72c245.15$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.921143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No31c244.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7711255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…2a87backed Yes70c239.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No7c236.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.086735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes75c236$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5917254.1%93 W · 79 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.