Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd296113d1d6cdd879010c82f0aaec5140dac09bab4b7d0234e6451112e89162e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 14c | 20,909$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.91 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 24c | 1,038$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Yes | 13c | 666.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 630.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 412.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 17c | 388.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 12c | 338.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 17c | 300.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 145.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes | 15c | 124.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 114.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…bd0ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…8a4abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 79c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 19c | 64.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.