TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1350…7169

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7035.7%25 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.31
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.99
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.2
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+311.6%+$869.89
Cincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+1,057.3%+$1,881.99
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lysbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$734.99
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+643.8%+$778.97
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.2
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.1
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$379.57
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.68
Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensikbacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.07
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$65.69
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+834%+$6,398.31
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.64
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$896
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$335.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.78
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.01
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+133.4%+$331.5
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.4
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+137.2%+$109.9
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$152.09
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+216.1%+$472.83
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$220.88
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+149%+$359
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$167.4
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$151.8
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$263.77
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.75
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.1
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$40.25
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$112.8
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.4
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+140%+$175
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.67
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$79.2
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$97.59
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$82.85
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+669.2%+$696
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$44.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+490.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,080.9%+$5,267.62
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.99
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$149.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+375.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+375.7%+$789.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.