TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Pistons46c113,000$51,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,979.9817031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers54c109,177$58,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,221.451,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Clippers61c13,621$8,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Clippers55c10,506$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.6134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Pistons45c8,746$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.6213248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons41c6,541$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons50c4,326$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Clippers53c2,831$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.8722035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Clippers50c2,751$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.655738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Pistons45c2,575$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9916335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers67c2,400$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8041,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Clippers49c2,200$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11635447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers66c2,017$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.682,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Clippers55c1,809$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Clippers54c1,630$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.0150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Clippers66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1515355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pistons34c1,178$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.437944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Pistons43c1,177$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.033342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons34c1,128$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.884,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers60c1,105$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.751651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Pistons44c1,049$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2716436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Clippers51c1,045$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Pistons60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b0…5af4backed Pistons37c999.99$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers59c986.25$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons41c874.31$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers65c820$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers66c808$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Pistons46c806.96$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37125452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Clippers55c799.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers48c720.08$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Clippers66c599.51$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8554853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers55c597.55$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.93,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Clippers67c582.09$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0914061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pistons44c496.4$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Clippers61c473.83$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0763745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clippers56c448.74$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers66c392$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.282,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers66c368$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.071,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Pistons51c329.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.43438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Clippers58c321.77$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1414742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Pistons35c320$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11211839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Clippers64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10840243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pistons42c281.07$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.831,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons36c248.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.862,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons39c240.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.833,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons43c233.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Pistons47c213.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons35c195.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons46c173$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Clippers63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Clippers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2546348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Pistons35c146.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3132346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Clippers55c143.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7320456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Clippers47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6624533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Pistons44c120.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Pistons35c115.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Clippers47c107.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0248740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb1…a3dbbacked Pistons47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Clippers66c101.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9839756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Clippers41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5912947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Pistons36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9963353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Pistons35c97.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons38c90.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.512,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.372,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons34c86.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Clippers50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Clippers56c77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0852246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Clippers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1810744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers57c69.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Clippers77c69.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.067254.2%39 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Clippers45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.676121.3%13 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Pistons47c63.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Clippers64c60.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.216046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a3…f7a7backed Pistons34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers64c58.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.983,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons49c57.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.613,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Clippers66c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.79458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Pistons48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Pistons43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Pistons43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Clippers66c48.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Pistons64c45.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3121642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c90…9bbfbacked Clippers55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Clippers55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4528156.2%158 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Clippers64c43.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8362546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x909b…6a0dbacked Clippers58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons35c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Clippers54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0422556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons54c36.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Pistons38c34.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pistons40c31.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers54c30.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc55…0f11backed Clippers59c30.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Clippers68c30.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.719232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Pistons45c25.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4622247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Clippers66c25.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4620353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.