NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b5eaf7fc225098e15b5d2c1fbfb2c8186b23d641bd6c5aa30ae0752078217f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons | 48c | 14,408$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,965.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 54c | 9,319$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pistons | 45c | 6,438$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 55c | 5,566$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 45c | 5,517$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Clippers | 53c | 4,523$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.73 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers | 57c | 3,688$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.32 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Pistons | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pistons | 45c | 1,307$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 41c | 1,111$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pistons | 38c | 1,103$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.14 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 62c | 1,053$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pistons | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Pistons | 46c | 873.65$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers | 55c | 769.09$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Pistons | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Pistons | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Clippers | 50c | 574.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Clippers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 45c | 365.63$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Pistons | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Clippers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 48c | 289.79$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Clippers | 53c | 279.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pistons | 51c | 187$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Pistons | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pistons | 43c | 168$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 52c | 159.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Pistons | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 40c | 126.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Clippers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 44c | 91.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 55c | 86.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 45c | 69.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…0711backed Pistons | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Pistons | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Pistons | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Clippers | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons | 42c | 47.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pistons | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Clippers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Clippers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Clippers | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Clippers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Clippers vs. PistonsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.