NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ebe1dc8837282edcb9a07af0c4684bb7af10a1c815fd8899c7880dfa097eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Clippers | 57c | 18,749$10,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.98 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 43c | 16,078$6,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 63c | 10,475$6,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.03 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 53c | 5,114$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 59c | 4,718$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.31 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 47c | 4,284$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 64c | 4,200$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 63c | 3,747$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 54c | 3,122$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 36c | 2,400$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Clippers | 54c | 2,210$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.75 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons | 36c | 2,076$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.36 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.3 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Pistons | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pistons | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pistons | 46c | 826.09$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 40c | 702.81$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Pistons | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 63c | 244.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 64c | 229$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Pistons | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…8b0ebacked Clippers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Clippers | 64c | 171.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons | 44c | 135.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Clippers | 51c | 123.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Pistons | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Pistons | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…9aa3backed Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 41c | 90.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Clippers | 57c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Clippers | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 48c | 60.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Pistons | 51c | 59.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Clippers | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2c40backed Pistons | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Clippers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked Pistons | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Clippers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Pistons | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pistons | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Clippers | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Clippers | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Clippers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Clippers | 60c | 26.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Pistons | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Clippers | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Clippers vs. PistonsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.