TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0e2…8e9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST9659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$246.27
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.8%+$266.42
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$406.06
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.7%+$185.44
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Suns (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$600
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$552.38
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$416.33
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$369.23
Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+57.1%+$85.66
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.8%+$188.65
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$275
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$108.5
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$315
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$174.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$423.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$304
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$287
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$600
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+82.2%+$411.18
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$528.13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60.16
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$695.66
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$391.17
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$541.08
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$177.01
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Devils vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$860
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmohbacked Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$289.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$456
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$576
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.