Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfefca5889a7f87a60f1aa8ca91fc2f431277e4e57ba8d27c95993c2de382b1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oh My Godof EDward Gaming, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Oh My God | 39c | 4,377$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 4,376$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Oh My God | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.97 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Oh My God | 39c | 1,031$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…8836backed EDward Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Oh My God | 37c | 966.44$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.86 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked EDward Gaming | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 797.76$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.43 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oh My God | 38c | 640.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.32 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Oh My God | 40c | 613$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.8 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked EDward Gaming | 61c | 441.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 322.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.81 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed EDward Gaming | 63c | 316.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Oh My God | 57c | 280$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Oh My God | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Oh My God | 41c | 233.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Oh My God | 38c | 218.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed EDward Gaming | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Oh My God | 37c | 197.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 180.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…3b04backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 154.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed EDward Gaming | 10c | 151$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Oh My God | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked EDward Gaming | 64c | 117.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked EDward Gaming | 61c | 110.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked EDward Gaming | 63c | 106.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked Oh My God | 36c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Oh My God | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Oh My God | 36c | 57.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 57.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked EDward Gaming | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Oh My God | 36c | 46.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oh My God | 31c | 41.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked EDward Gaming | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked EDward Gaming | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 59.6%102 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Oh My God | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f1…7798backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Oh My God | 72c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-2.5) vs Oh My God (+2.5)Oh My God won
- Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Oh My God won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsOh My God won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 4 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.