Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e44905e7d294fdefb94384de75ea0fd6d6b896e55046a1be6521ed5559cd7e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 63c | 3,935$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.12 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 67c | 2,556$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.3 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 64c | 2,117$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.1 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Under | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Over | 63c | 1,080$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 37c | 1,033$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.45 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…8836backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Over | 63c | 710.7$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.74 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…92dabacked Under | 35c | 700$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 651$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.13 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 36c | 600$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.71 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Over | 61c | 515.55$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 37c | 512.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Under | 34c | 435.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.44 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Over | 66c | 408.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Under | 49c | 395.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Over | 78c | 293.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.49 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 24c | 187.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 17c | 146.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Over | 29c | 138.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Under | 13c | 125.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Under | 37c | 124.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under | 36c | 71.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 65c | 71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Under | 73c | 59.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Over | 28c | 55.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 38c | 52.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Over | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Over | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Under | 34c | 29.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 29.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)Oh My God won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-2.5) vs Oh My God (+2.5)Oh My God won
- Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Oh My God won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsOh My God won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 4 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.