TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe05c…951e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST4332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.68
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.6%+$27.01
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26%+$21.69
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.04
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$199.51
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+474.9%+$96.31
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.17
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$135.45
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.16
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+82.6%+$23.56
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$210.03
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.1%+$14.1
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.66
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$156.11
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$234.34
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$123.03
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117.56
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.81
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37.5%+$28.2
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+80.2%+$16.19
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$20.71
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$12.12
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+129.4%+$26.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.79
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.42
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$3.77
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+121.9%+$95.92
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65.85
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.38
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$105.47
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.08
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+27.3%+$17.98
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.83
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+147.5%+$21.98
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$74.89
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$305.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+419.3%+$227.87
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.23
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.4%+$43.37
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$151.54
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.5%+$177.41
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.9%+$9.56
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.31
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.3%+$98.09
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.73
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.47
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.3%+$11.57
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+80.5%+$9.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$375.16
Will XRP reach $2.20 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.08
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+30.1%+$60.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Mason Patriots vs. Richmond Spidersbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60.94
Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.3%+$11.47
Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.29
Marist Red Foxes vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+71%+$30.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+426.3%+$137.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.