Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39f9517f52a2ae7feaa1ab3e51a1b49223345e284835c2d54e8db6cea89006d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 6,640$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 48c | 4,618$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.58 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 4c | 3,195$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 2,757$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 2,644$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.91 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 1,915$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.57 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,912$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.86 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 56c | 1,909$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 57c | 1,772$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.93 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,086$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 906.7$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 44c | 900$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 391.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 4c | 375.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 275.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 238.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 218.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…43f1backed Yes | 56c | 214$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…7ba3backed No | 44c | 213$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…41f8backed No | 44c | 208$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…cf17backed Yes | 56c | 207$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 56c | 177.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 56c | 134$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 43c | 92.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 55c | 86.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 58c | 76.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…a5bdbacked Yes | 59c | 74.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 61.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 56c | 57.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 50.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…2bd1backed No | 42c | 48.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 43c | 43.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 46c | 41.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 42c | 34.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Yes | 57c | 32.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 44c | 24.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…0c4ebacked No | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 56c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed No | 44c | 22.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Yes | 57c | 21.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?No won
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.