Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f754ad865a3a4450568ff7359e0a0b1019f3e84364d88bd49545d7313e368a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,035,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,294,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,035,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 28c | 242,110$67,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,811.87 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 29c | 130,042$37,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,712.13 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 73c | 128,035$93,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,611.97 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 119,024$84,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,462.98 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 71c | 78,514$55,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,831.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 29c | 65,346$18,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,796.75 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 73c | 60,773$44,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,441.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 28c | 54,818$15,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,523.75 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 80c | 53,252$42,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,657.84 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 29c | 39,035$11,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,356.28 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 71c | 33,865$24,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,667.1 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 30c | 32,690$9,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,806.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 31,049$8,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,943.26 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 73c | 30,000$21,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.69 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 29c | 29,820$8,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,647.8 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 29c | 29,096$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.96 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 29c | 29,076$8,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,457.76 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 28c | 28,962$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.42 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 27c | 27,600$7,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.98 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 28c | 27,504$7,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,701.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 29c | 26,460$7,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,671 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 70c | 26,452$18,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,818.92 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 29c | 24,892$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 24,818$19,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 29c | 22,115$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 22,039$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.34 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 29c | 20,612$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Yes | 72c | 20,351$14,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,733.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 29c | 18,500$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 17,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 72c | 15,373$11,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.53 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 30c | 14,300$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 29c | 14,300$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 70c | 14,285$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.5 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 28c | 14,036$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.91 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 71c | 14,000$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 29c | 14,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 13,861$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 72c | 13,331$9,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.74 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…d5dbbacked No | 27c | 12,694$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 72c | 12,390$8,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 27c | 11,898$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 73c | 11,567$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 72c | 11,054$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.03 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 27c | 11,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.95 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 72c | 10,596$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.38 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…e9d1backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 1c | 9,999$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 28c | 9,025$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 30c | 9,017$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 9,005$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.83 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 27c | 8,652$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.92 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 29c | 8,606$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 27c | 8,586$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.07 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Yes | 71c | 8,500$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 71c | 8,274$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.96 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked No | 28c | 8,201$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 30c | 7,865$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 72c | 7,736$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…3191backed No | 28c | 7,667$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 29c | 7,421$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.11 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 72c | 6,734$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.59 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 72c | 6,586$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…31dfbacked Yes | 72c | 6,528$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 71c | 6,250$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.5 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 28c | 6,210$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.74 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 73c | 6,162$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 72c | 6,151$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.93 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Yes | 72c | 5,764$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 71c | 5,211$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.3 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Yes | 72c | 4,960$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 72c | 4,917$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 73c | 4,654$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.14 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 71c | 4,452$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.68 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 72c | 4,400$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.97 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes | 72c | 4,396$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 28c | 4,300$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 2c | 3,887$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…4f97backed Yes | 71c | 3,763$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 29c | 3,737$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc776…1e92backed No | 29c | 3,701$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.13 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…301fbacked No | 6c | 3,213$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.