TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bb9…9dd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.6
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$69.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$462.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$226.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89%+$1,824.18
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$98.28
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$693.37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$506.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$383.02
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$622.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$338.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,747Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35%+$2,014.19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$6,477.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,786Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.6%+$2,283.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+124.6%+$186.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+73.7%+$221.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$137.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+67.3%+$3,033.31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.7%+$235.79
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$337.6
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28%+$9.78
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$300.13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$70.21
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$128.52
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$111.06
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$38.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,764.69
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,414.68
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$938
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$198.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,837.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$818.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$456.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,956.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,736Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,011.57
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,376.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$73.11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.56
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$794.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,616.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$705.08
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$164.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37%+$17.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.79
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$26.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,126.32
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+82.8%+$1,614.33
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+101%+$101
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,058.76
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,028Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+36.7%+$1,110.3
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$348.74
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,595.68
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.9
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.39
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$116.91
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.55
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33%+$6.6
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$361.15
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+48.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,993.57
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$59.09
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+74%+$108.89
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$89.97
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$15.37
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,195.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$46.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.