TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof FURIA, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA46c11,645$5,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,311.831,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d99…5591backed FURIA42c11,240$4,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,696.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed TheMongolz43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.916752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FURIA46c7,820$3,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.843,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed TheMongolz33c6,008$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.7612649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA59c5,645$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.4483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ab…f441backed FURIA17c5,304$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.962828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz60c5,002$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.9965650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA62c4,010$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.494,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz33c3,858$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.692,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA56c2,535$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.72,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…45babacked TheMongolz75c2,189$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz67c2,064$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.1222550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed FURIA21c1,971$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9128453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA26c1,931$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.836,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA33c1,900$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62552834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz67c1,682$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.683,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz48c1,672$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.5247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed FURIA6c1,669$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked FURIA44c1,565$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.999353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed FURIA24c1,520$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2919732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed FURIA13c1,389$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2319850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz80c1,344$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked TheMongolz62c1,227$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5213657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA54c1,141$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.821,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed TheMongolz40c1,130$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed TheMongolz59c1,113$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.410244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz41c1,083$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.324944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz40c1,045$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FURIA24c1,010$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed TheMongolz44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed TheMongolz43c954.58$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.081850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked FURIA22c938.18$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9869624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…ac7cbacked TheMongolz40c898.76$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed FURIA57c879.82$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.541260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed TheMongolz49c869.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.896953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA52c860.12$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.881,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9d…df59backed FURIA14c850.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234134.1%14 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz39c842$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6212153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed FURIA70c831.4$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.2211166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked FURIA62c803.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FURIA43c800$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34017548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8737…72babacked TheMongolz39c770.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.571838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz30c759.94$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.961,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked TheMongolz41c733.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.054346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed FURIA4c693.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.725416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz40c678.16$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.132,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FURIA25c661.48$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3711643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FURIA19c622.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed FURIA65c600$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.86960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed FURIA22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9331444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz76c583.1$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.681,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed TheMongolz80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz58c480.47$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.825555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz59c471.19$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1932653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FURIA61c467.21$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x714f…16ffbacked FURIA24c451.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed FURIA21c432.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7743933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc918…f848backed FURIA71c422.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6267…e11bbacked TheMongolz78c406.65$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed TheMongolz41c388.51$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.228537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed TheMongolz39c380.01$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.48416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked FURIA29c379.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.99319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked FURIA54c369.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.967651.3%39 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FURIA39c349.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed TheMongolz45c336.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.914173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed FURIA61c327.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed TheMongolz46c325.11$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.269832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked FURIA62c324.68$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked TheMongolz47c319.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7925846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae65…70debacked TheMongolz43c302.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.335940.7%24 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked FURIA12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3629127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked FURIA24c300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3910660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0c5…da68backed FURIA10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299942.4%42 W · 57 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed FURIA64c289.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18621460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA54c286.16$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc7…613ebacked TheMongolz59c284.42$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.618851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed FURIA64c278.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1789054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed TheMongolz38c276.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3710053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed TheMongolz80c271.55$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.313262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed TheMongolz58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6222952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked FURIA62c251.83$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde34…8b33backed FURIA63c251.59$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.511739.3%46 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked FURIA41c248.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8514355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca6b…9c23backed TheMongolz41c244.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked TheMongolz39c244$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9838051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742c…e779backed TheMongolz41c241.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.993366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x631f…c204backed TheMongolz38c237$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x591b…9f37backed FURIA62c237$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8f…f2b0backed FURIA18c230$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…3377backed TheMongolz67c225.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.074165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed FURIA61c224.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13715162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked FURIA59c221.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed FURIA46c219.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed TheMongolz42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11626451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed FURIA25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.