CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c957315761cb4e84c5329b927951cd02a18c8e7a0dd0f2e34358171ff2b1681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof FURIA, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz | 56c | 8,126$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.6 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 6,600$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz | 59c | 6,217$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.2 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed FURIA | 42c | 5,488$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 42c | 4,950$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 4,795$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.72 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked FURIA | 44c | 3,846$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.38 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed TheMongolz | 58c | 3,065$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed FURIA | 43c | 2,822$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.59 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FURIA | 44c | 1,891$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed TheMongolz | 57c | 1,747$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.19 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed FURIA | 42c | 1,534$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.28 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked FURIA | 42c | 1,480$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 1,202$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.93 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed FURIA | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA | 42c | 700.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 58c | 451.72$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed TheMongolz | 57c | 437.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA | 42c | 389$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed TheMongolz | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…3d46backed TheMongolz | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…5228backed FURIA | 44c | 323.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 278.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed FURIA | 44c | 252.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed FURIA | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed TheMongolz | 58c | 236.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked FURIA | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…61c5backed FURIA | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…3045backed FURIA | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed FURIA | 43c | 193.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 41c | 170.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed TheMongolz | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…d188backed TheMongolz | 58c | 166.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 162.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked TheMongolz | 56c | 160.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked FURIA | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FURIA | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…8465backed FURIA | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed FURIA | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed FURIA | 43c | 109.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…1a83backed TheMongolz | 58c | 104.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked FURIA | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed FURIA | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed TheMongolz | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked FURIA | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed TheMongolz | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed TheMongolz | 58c | 79.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 78.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FURIA | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FURIA | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…a0fcbacked FURIA | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed FURIA | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked FURIA | 43c | 56.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed TheMongolz | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed TheMongolz | 58c | 39.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…40fcbacked FURIA | 45c | 36.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…4596backed TheMongolz | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked TheMongolz | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed FURIA | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 44c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked FURIA | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a92…6643backed FURIA | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed TheMongolz | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed TheMongolz | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…3eb5backed TheMongolz | 58c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.