TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3557…4596

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT5768.4%39 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.38
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.14
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$77.61
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$28.25
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$22.72
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$46.25
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39.1%+$27.36
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$32.31
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$20.59
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$58.98
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.73
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$39.05
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$36.41
Flyers vs. Bluesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.66
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.99
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$40.78
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$22.24
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+73.6%+$27.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+131.3%+$131.27
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$21.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Natus Vincerebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Tideboundbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Aurora Gaming vs. BetBoom Teambacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Tideboundbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Team Liquidbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Falconsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.45
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$23.06
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$17
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.11
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+139.7%+$20.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.6%+$33.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.