Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a4ce4201647141a9dedfa7ff18045c9ea2ba9b1093677b4b977774ffa1786f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Baylor Bears, Arizona State Sun Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,538 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baylor Bears | 66c | 12,210$8,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,031.17 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 7,989$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.76 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 34c | 7,370$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 4,769$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.83 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 24c | 4,336$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baylor Bears | 13c | 2,880$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.18 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 47c | 2,334$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.4 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 2,248$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.29 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 2,223$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.96 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Baylor Bears | 69c | 2,202$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.21 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Baylor Bears | 68c | 2,091$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.83 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 2,089$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.43 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 37c | 1,800$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.96 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Baylor Bears | 35c | 1,621$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 35c | 1,407$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.59 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Baylor Bears | 15c | 1,343$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Baylor Bears | 62c | 1,294$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.24 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 1,182$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.73 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 1,075$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 67c | 1,042$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baylor Bears | 61c | 941.6$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.38 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 65c | 919.37$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 69c | 912.4$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Baylor Bears | 14c | 897.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baylor Bears | 11c | 761.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Baylor Bears | 31c | 752.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…7fbfbacked Baylor Bears | 64c | 717.43$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 45c | 711.68$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.7 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Baylor Bears | 12c | 698.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 65c | 669.5$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 616.57$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 559.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 493.62$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.91 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Baylor Bears | 11c | 483.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 41c | 483.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 54c | 477.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.11 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 454.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Baylor Bears | 10c | 398.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Baylor Bears | 63c | 387.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 61c | 383.87$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 372.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.31 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 41c | 363.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 343.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baylor Bears | 68c | 324.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Baylor Bears | 32c | 323$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 307.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 37c | 303.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 37c | 301.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 300.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 295.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 290.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 47c | 290.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 285.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Baylor Bears | 60c | 235.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baylor Bears | 68c | 228.39$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 220.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 60c | 210.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Baylor Bears | 68c | 202.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…8f41backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 198.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Baylor Bears | 47c | 195.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Baylor Bears | 36c | 193.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 192.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 54c | 189.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 54c | 188.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…d2d1backed Baylor Bears | 15c | 185.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Baylor Bears | 61c | 177.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…7f2cbacked Baylor Bears | 38c | 172.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Baylor Bears | 66c | 167.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 166.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…b7debacked Baylor Bears | 21c | 165.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 160.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…70fcbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 157.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…7a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 36c | 156.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Baylor Bears | 67c | 148.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Baylor Bears | 68c | 145.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baylor Bears | 34c | 139.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 139.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 137.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…e0cbbacked Baylor Bears | 36c | 132.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Baylor Bears | 62c | 127.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 80c | 124.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Baylor Bears | 62c | 113.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…29bbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…220bbacked Baylor Bears | 47c | 105.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Baylor Bears | 67c | 100.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…0e40backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 99.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Baylor Bears | 18c | 97.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsthis page
- Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 152.5Over won
- Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 153.5Over won
- Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-4.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-5.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.