TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a73…d2d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.92
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.79
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.86
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$109.41
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.48
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcorn State Braves vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$76.33
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$273.2
Indiana Hoosiers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$18.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.