TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof Team Nemesis, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,010 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e39…dfd9backed Team Nemesis0c23,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked MOUZ NXT48c4,444$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.889739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis26c4,071$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis52c4,003$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.8184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Team Nemesis26c3,340$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.776858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ NXT40c3,148$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.441,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ NXT45c3,016$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.91,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bd…b013backed Team Nemesis43c2,674$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.182236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed MOUZ NXT50c1,629$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.646956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Team Nemesis74c1,566$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.387142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT40c1,515$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.852,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Team Nemesis52c1,396$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.3131642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis60c1,348$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.825,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed MOUZ NXT46c1,275$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.472944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis42c1,229$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.676,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9218…045cbacked MOUZ NXT39c1,122$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb08…c7d9backed Team Nemesis1c1,060$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6847…4f83backed MOUZ NXT53c1,026$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.681764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff2…9070backed Team Nemesis1c1,021$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT43c980.21$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.8187244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Team Nemesis56c979.31$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7316653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Team Nemesis74c900$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7429647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis4c845.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.880744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked MOUZ NXT45c816$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6310445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis11c784.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.635,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Team Nemesis73c767$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1549745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Team Nemesis60c755$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45320946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Nemesis72c697$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1654346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis63c690.73$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.235,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Team Nemesis59c666$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6114853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Nemesis47c637.04$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis54c606.97$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.84,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Team Nemesis74c605$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9829244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed MOUZ NXT43c601.12$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.644862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Team Nemesis68c588.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT29c584.43$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.257,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team Nemesis72c584$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.248948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT43c580.58$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.791,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Nemesis22c576.35$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.063,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Team Nemesis52c573.69$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3215655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e43…e7cebacked Team Nemesis70c568$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Team Nemesis51c527.56$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0617758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ NXT36c489.88$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedea…8b39backed MOUZ NXT40c421.77$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT33c403.65$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.891,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT25c399.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.362,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Nemesis10c364.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2613546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis9c363.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.114,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed MOUZ NXT42c351.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.726958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81a4…dd2abacked MOUZ NXT44c342.15$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3627…43f6backed Team Nemesis57c342.11$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…dffdbacked MOUZ NXT44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x073e…979bbacked MOUZ NXT44c340.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fc…cbd6backed Team Nemesis57c339.36$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b26…8dafbacked Team Nemesis57c332.03$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Team Nemesis59c320$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5733044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Team Nemesis12c278.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3446042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Team Nemesis18c268.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5116829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis5c266$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6145…36babacked MOUZ NXT41c242$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1422152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed MOUZ NXT45c238.3$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.135050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis57c234.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.512,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed MOUZ NXT44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca88…fb7abacked MOUZ NXT58c208.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ NXT15c199.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9756822.5%128 W · 440 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ NXT47c193.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.845639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed MOUZ NXT58c193$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5201…0c88backed Team Nemesis58c185.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Team Nemesis58c183.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6210345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Team Nemesis56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87847.4%37 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ NXT45c178$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9822843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8a…0407backed MOUZ NXT44c173$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Team Nemesis7c172.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0919549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c42…1fffbacked MOUZ NXT47c171$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa2…40a3backed MOUZ NXT77c167.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.121338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed MOUZ NXT44c164.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.076237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis38c162.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.481,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Team Nemesis52c162.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9910757%61 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked MOUZ NXT42c160.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1526257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Nemesis63c158.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ff…09d5backed MOUZ NXT46c157$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed MOUZ NXT40c152$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.216250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis56c150.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.52,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Nemesis56c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…24d2backed MOUZ NXT12c150$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1327742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked MOUZ NXT19c150$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8723858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Team Nemesis49c147.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.624549.8%122 W · 123 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda65…acc2backed MOUZ NXT46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed MOUZ NXT35c143.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3143239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked MOUZ NXT35c139.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.768447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Team Nemesis51c139$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked MOUZ NXT18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.895431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis68c137.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.711,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ NXT44c134.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed MOUZ NXT48c133.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…dfedbacked MOUZ NXT18c129.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Team Nemesis10c118.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed MOUZ NXT51c117.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.852853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.