CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf038a43278bc39f7d803daca22c8211ce55bb6e2e32e63e9e8b56958b32c4f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Team Nemesis, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,066 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 1,654$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.7 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 958.78$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 911.79$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 820.11$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 810.79$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 743$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 676.34$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.09 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 612$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.27 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 512.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 473.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 444.41$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 423.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 356.38$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.32 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 332.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…5c4ebacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 329$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…5393backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 323$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…51d0backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 315$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…7936backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 307$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x753a…6d00backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 292$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…f469backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 284$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 275.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 263.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…2ed8backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 261$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…0aa4backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 217.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…ad12backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 214$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 206.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…aec6backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 205$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 202.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 193.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 191.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a71cbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 191$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 179.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 167.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 161.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 156.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 156.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…f783backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 156$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…5688backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 141$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…aa5bbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 132.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…0440backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 126$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 124.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…fc5abacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…86c3backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 118$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…1c2bbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 115.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 109.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 100.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 66c | 76.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 59.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 55.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 47.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 45.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 38.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…a7d9backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 32.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 27.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.