CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2867b2a692d42420d1761835a2c293e291cca8c172cc6a517d5114de8677fa68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed MOUZ NXT | 2c | 3,636$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 2,086$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 2,081$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 1,400$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.62 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT | 10c | 1,146$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 868.54$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 27c | 815.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 738.93$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 729$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 674.59$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 644.7$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 515.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 432$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 417.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 370.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 338$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 250.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 228.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 213$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Team Nemesis | 77c | 191.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 177.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 169.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 163.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 146.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 145.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 132$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 125.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 118.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 117.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ NXT | 12c | 107.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked MOUZ NXT | 26c | 98.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked MOUZ NXT | 13c | 87.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 79.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 55.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 51.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 38.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 32.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.