TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bbb…2948

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT17070%119 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Counter-Strike: ex-Fingers Crossed vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$7.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$4.19
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$14.94
LoL: Joblife vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.9
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.6
LoL: Dark Passage vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+27.3%+$5.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.34
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.75
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kennesaw State (-10.5)backed Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$79.05
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.25
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.8
Central Michigan vs. Bowlingbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick79cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$6.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.8
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$11.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$41.6
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+354.5%+$54.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$325.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.