CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Fingers Crossed vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca1b57eacff1450a7a0b87eabf92bd7befebf201cc9a19d2161e9a9b4ab9902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof ex-Fingers Crossed, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,970 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 49c | 3,064$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 3,032$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.11 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…4984backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 910$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…557ebacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 41c | 910$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 44c | 875.14$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.01 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 571.21$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 483.56$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 457.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 52c | 406.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.17 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 53c | 147.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 142.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 32c | 142.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 30c | 96.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 52c | 83.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 53c | 61.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 56.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 25c | 52.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 54c | 50.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 34.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked ex-Fingers Crossed | 55c | 33.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54b…8f61backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 33.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed ex-Fingers Crossed | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 25.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 14.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Fingers Crossed vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: ex-Fingers Crossed (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.