TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd637…7617

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT13533.3%45 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$49.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.38
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$33.72
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$23.25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+67%+$120.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$8.77
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+182.4%+$38.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$27.36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$19.89
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.06
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked TEAM XDM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$7.65
Counter-Strike: ex-Fingers Crossed vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked ex-Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z (BO5) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$12.84
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 33 vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+121.5%+$26.97
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+110.7%+$26.97
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+79%+$10.38
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked DashSkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$2.84
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.56
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+201.7%+$322.75
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+320.4%+$45.76
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.72
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$67.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+306.2%+$95.18
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$20.26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.12
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.44
Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.28
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-9.5)backed Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.