CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742d5e31c560664b5be4ecb89dc077c9d392ee1636b66a6d46e2ebf831f0b716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Nuclear TigeRES, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Leo Team | 38c | 551.62$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 36c | 504.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 502.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Leo Team | 78c | 482.5$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 343.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 235$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 49c | 218.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 210.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Leo Team | 39c | 185.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 185$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 146.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 144$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Leo Team | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 81.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 67.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Leo Team | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a5fbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 48.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Leo Team | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebe…3835backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Leo Team | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Leo Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.