Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a2c8f7d6806ca887ef7285668ad5bcc39511e367d81881c8b5c783bf42206d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,381$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…8a4dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,950$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 1c | 931.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 732.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 665.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 32c | 436.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 4c | 401.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 388.21$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 348.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 29c | 341.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 339.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…a79abacked Yes | 29c | 321.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 73c | 312.13$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 31c | 300.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 68c | 294.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 29c | 248.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 27c | 243.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 229.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 12c | 210.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 16c | 198.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 196.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 191.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 24c | 173.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 18c | 169.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…32a3backed Yes | 13c | 154.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 150.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…d478backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 29c | 142.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 16c | 128.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 77c | 126.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 79c | 123.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 78c | 115.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 66c | 109.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 109.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1019backed Yes | 43c | 108.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked Yes | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 101.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…0d41backed Yes | 34c | 99.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 31c | 98.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…10c0backed Yes | 18c | 98.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 32c | 97.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…4a4cbacked Yes | 20c | 96.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 20c | 95.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…9818backed Yes | 24c | 94.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 31c | 89.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 29c | 83.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 82.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 30c | 82.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 34c | 78.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 63c | 75.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 27c | 74.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 73c | 72.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 31c | 70.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 30c | 69.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 65.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 20c | 64.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…f242backed Yes | 28c | 63.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 30c | 62.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 71c | 59.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…298dbacked Yes | 36c | 57.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 26c | 57.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…6b02backed Yes | 33c | 56.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 38c | 51.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 69c | 50.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…ee30backed Yes | 34c | 50.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…22f7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…beb1backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 73c | 49.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked No | 76c | 48.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 27c | 47.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed No | 74c | 47.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…e7bdbacked Yes | 32c | 47.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 30c | 46.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 32c | 44.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 75c | 43.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…b360backed Yes | 31c | 42.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 74c | 40.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 75c | 38.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 76c | 38.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 68c | 37.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 27c | 37.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 72c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 70c | 32.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 32c | 32.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…bb32backed No | 76c | 32.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked No | 76c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8beb…1425backed Yes | 34c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…b4f9backed No | 70c | 27.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 64c | 27.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…4d57backed No | 72c | 27.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 69c | 26.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…fc8ebacked No | 77c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 65c | 25.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 71c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 70c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.