Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094977be8087ca1bc3e530d16fca2a76a21548dd548c42fb76144e377aea76e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 4c | 2,336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 14c | 942.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 1c | 905.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 37c | 555.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.33 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 10c | 480.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 32c | 404.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 377.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 19c | 344.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 38c | 297.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…54adbacked Yes | 35c | 288.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 276.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 60c | 275.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 275.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 274.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 259.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 38c | 249.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 38c | 249.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 55c | 204.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 20c | 198.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 34c | 187.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…49efbacked Yes | 49c | 184.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 61c | 180.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 173.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 164.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 62c | 121.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 120.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 63c | 112.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63d9backed Yes | 45c | 109.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 37c | 108.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…76afbacked No | 62c | 104.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 38c | 104.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 41c | 104.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 50c | 101.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 47c | 99.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 97.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 36c | 93.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…49c5backed Yes | 62c | 92.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…9939backed Yes | 73c | 88.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 43c | 87.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 45c | 84.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 34c | 84.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 64c | 82.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6652…0fc2backed Yes | 72c | 81.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 49c | 79.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 35c | 77.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 56c | 73.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 37c | 70.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 69.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…eb97backed No | 59c | 68.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…5678backed Yes | 48c | 63.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 30c | 63.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 53c | 63.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 59.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 57.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…0925backed Yes | 35c | 56.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 40c | 54.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 43c | 54.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed No | 73c | 53.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 45c | 52.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 37c | 50.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…f16abacked Yes | 78c | 49.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 61c | 45.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked No | 55c | 44.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 52c | 44.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 59c | 44.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 36c | 43.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 23c | 43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 31c | 42.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 41c | 41.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 39c | 40.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 27c | 40.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 43c | 38.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 34c | 38.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 37c | 37.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 64c | 34.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 51c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 43c | 32.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…9744backed Yes | 37c | 31.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…8509backed Yes | 49c | 30.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…7bb8backed Yes | 56c | 30.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…f3cfbacked No | 64c | 30.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 53c | 30.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 39c | 30.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 43c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 37c | 29.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Yes | 36c | 28.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 62c | 28.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 67c | 28.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.