CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa244fa8cf77a2bf179f84df358476dc94651c4442c3b5a63ccb37c11a1b43a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,970 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed AM Gaming | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.93 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed KOLESIE | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed KOLESIE | 50c | 428$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 27c | 425.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 55c | 318.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked KOLESIE | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 13c | 150.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 112.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked KOLESIE | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked KOLESIE | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed AM Gaming | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked KOLESIE | 49c | 66.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked AM Gaming | 50c | 59.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed KOLESIE | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 66c | 42.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked KOLESIE | 50c | 39.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed KOLESIE | 69c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed KOLESIE | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed KOLESIE | 57c | 29.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed KOLESIE | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed AM Gaming | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked KOLESIE | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.