CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabcad610cc73d27b90d6679d52135a60b1a84aa90fec64685cd8eab8818fcac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,001 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a78…0559backed FOKUS | 69c | 10,076$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AM Gaming | 32c | 7,708$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…af99backed FOKUS | 67c | 2,600$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…3e19backed AM Gaming | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed AM Gaming | 31c | 1,636$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AM Gaming | 32c | 743.21$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed AM Gaming | 42c | 553.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.66 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 37c | 524.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 42c | 469.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked FOKUS | 62c | 269.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 56c | 265.72$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 45c | 221.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AM Gaming | 71c | 206.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 33c | 205.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked AM Gaming | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 65c | 155.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 35c | 153.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FOKUS | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed AM Gaming | 75c | 132.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed AM Gaming | 37c | 126.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed AM Gaming | 36c | 123.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed FOKUS | 12c | 118.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 111.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AM Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked FOKUS | 63c | 92.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed FOKUS | 64c | 69.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed FOKUS | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked AM Gaming | 36c | 55.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FOKUS | 29c | 54.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked AM Gaming | 30c | 54.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked AM Gaming | 40c | 42.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed FOKUS | 61c | 42.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked AM Gaming | 39c | 41.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AM Gaming | 34c | 32.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AM Gaming | 38c | 26.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed FOKUS | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked FOKUS | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.