CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z (BO5) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7691539d9bc251a241fce01e46be9cabb90013d6e761d62235f0e93f95f488a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Marsborne, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 9z | 74c | 1,826$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9z | 71c | 1,772$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.32 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Marsborne | 27c | 1,521$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.91 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 9z | 72c | 1,012$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Marsborne | 26c | 915.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Marsborne | 31c | 825.87$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marsborne | 28c | 552$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Marsborne | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed 9z | 71c | 329.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed 9z | 72c | 278.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marsborne | 30c | 201.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marsborne | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Marsborne | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed 9z | 74c | 134.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Marsborne | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Marsborne | 26c | 90.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Marsborne | 26c | 69.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Marsborne | 31c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Marsborne | 26c | 51.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Marsborne | 29c | 44.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Marsborne | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 9z | 71c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed 9z | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed 9z | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked 9z | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z (BO5) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.