TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Yes64c27,818$17,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,8003650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No36c11,111$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.0913746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No38c8,252$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.752,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No57c6,718$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.062763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes64c6,378$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074.481,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c4,043$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.745,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes25c2,447$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.2324323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No77c2,270$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4217249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No36c1,162$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.3412050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No77c1,127$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.841,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No36c1,111$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.113849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c1,061$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.041,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes43c1,017$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.487832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c875$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes22c838.71$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0327639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3316647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c801.51$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.721,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51218253.3%97 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c683.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.082,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No36c575.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3470842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes15c575.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9492235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked No70c567.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.462748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c533$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1684347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes65c506.82$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.95759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes20c469.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3224448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes38c423.45$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.592356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No37c418$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9616856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No70c411.02$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9919268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c410.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9253148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes18c407.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c399$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4148768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes14c397.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2324247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No66c371.59$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9214942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes52c357.22$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.749041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes52c356.52$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No36c350$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22413154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c346.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No36c337.88$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8617147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No36c302.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.511,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No34c298.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9811053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes40c245$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No41c243.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8921474.3%159 W · 55 L+44.8wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No41c243.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8915671.8%112 W · 44 L+33.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No42c212.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2219765.5%129 W · 68 L+27.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No35c211.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.861,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No48c207.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1512153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No34c200.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0718543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12815150.3%76 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c188.37$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9318851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No37c165.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7528253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No42c156.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.256729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c154.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.521052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9614353.8%77 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No60c136.28$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.084447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No38c135.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3840156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c134.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.146422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No37c132.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.369458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.614951%76 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes65c119.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9917151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes11c119.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes19c114.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9336142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e6…5f75backed Yes52c104.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes17c102.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2532457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes61c101$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.618166.7%54 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c100.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6315354.9%84 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6316152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes63c99.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No36c98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7217658%102 W · 74 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No36c97.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7815455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Yes12c92.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No35c92.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2910752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked No34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a7…40f7backed No36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No34c82.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.358350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes24c80.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5573850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.212552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No37c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.816154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…3ab2backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed No33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ea…8300backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.118256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.114854.1%80 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6411…1223backed No70c68.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes30c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.324763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed No79c64.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No35c64.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…a31dbacked No35c56.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.442356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed No35c51.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.432516%4 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No37c49.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No36c47.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1311650%58 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No35c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.048729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.