TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x205d…3ab2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.14
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$10.64
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.59
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.41
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.77
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.