TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Hawks, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,335,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,379,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,335,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks1c585,796$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.9890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hawks31c291,545$89,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,630.7464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hawks3c205,697$6,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,692.2220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Hawks0c167,500$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Hawks30c132,666$39,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,799.679745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Knicks69c100,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,0008038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Knicks69c100,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,00011333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Hawks31c100,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,999.984546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks70c82,483$57,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,994.5120758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Hawks31c79,037$24,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,501.4911737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks69c77,350$53,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,278.361,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Knicks69c55,000$37,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,05015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks29c53,152$15,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,662.866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hawks31c51,886$16,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,084.7226253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Hawks31c45,930$14,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,394.68035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks68c43,366$29,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,877.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Knicks69c42,292$29,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,110.657650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Hawks10c36,147$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.5610239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Knicks71c35,220$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,220.1171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks7c33,962$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.9285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Hawks6c33,538$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.6419033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks69c33,090$22,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.6361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Hawks31c32,421$10,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,050.5827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Knicks68c31,273$21,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,925.9710860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Hawks17c29,608$4,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.8569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks14c27,404$3,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,852.91,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Knicks69c26,703$18,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,277.851553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks68c26,125$17,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,360.011,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Knicks70c25,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5007869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Hawks31c22,581$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Knicks69c21,428$14,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,642.681040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Hawks2c21,420$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.193179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Knicks70c21,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3006459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Hawks8c19,379$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.525141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks16c18,077$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked Knicks69c16,906$11,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,278.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Knicks68c16,561$11,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.3871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Hawks31c15,961$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,948.0238143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30e…6b87backed Knicks70c15,714$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.29875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Hawks3c15,579$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.1236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7998…0db9backed Hawks0c15,050$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Hawks16c15,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.997834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Hawks5c14,532$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.2722039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Knicks69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.751770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a90…077cbacked Hawks0c14,346$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed Hawks32c13,375$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.872025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hawks1c13,177$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0127917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked Knicks68c12,640$8,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks69c12,408$8,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.232,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Knicks69c12,222$8,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Hawks30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Knicks68c12,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8402623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Knicks74c11,756$8,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.144252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Hawks1c11,454$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.245825.9%15 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks12c11,149$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hawks27c11,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9709741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eac…989ebacked Hawks0c10,810$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8180%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hawks14c10,738$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.8962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks0c10,110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.115502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks1c10,043$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.445213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056e…8e6ebacked Hawks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Knicks69c9,577$6,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.763770.3%26 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Knicks68c9,482$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.211843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks4c9,388$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hawks32c9,375$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Hawks30c8,806$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.6827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Hawks15c8,159$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.4161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Knicks69c8,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,51047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Knicks69c7,931$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.4814857.4%85 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks68c7,684$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.151,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Knicks69c7,177$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.7813063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Knicks69c7,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2003767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks74c6,538$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.6376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Knicks70c6,250$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87510837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Hawks8c6,150$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Hawks31c6,129$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9003342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed Hawks27c5,427$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.242729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39cf…f964backed Hawks29c5,249$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5083243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ed…dd10backed Hawks31c5,200$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e47…3475backed Knicks69c5,200$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks31c5,150$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Hawks32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Knicks68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Knicks70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Hawks7c4,988$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Knicks72c4,957$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.6325947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe15a…7186backed Knicks80c4,900$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Hawks31c4,839$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac92…9d64backed Knicks69c4,800$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f82…e907backed Hawks32c4,774$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks12c4,612$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.41,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x495c…1574backed Hawks6c4,298$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.887423%17 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Knicks69c4,172$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.1212058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Hawks27c4,090$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.8720537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Hawks16c4,062$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.869851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Hawks29c4,052$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.535129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Knicks68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x854a…5e9ebacked Knicks69c3,994$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.11060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks28c3,799$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.8366744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.