TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c112,584$56,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,592.7515545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under49c53,865$26,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,609.312268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under48c37,657$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under48c18,453$8,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,813.921,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c14,763$7,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,293.161,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Under49c14,410$7,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,118.43875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c12,115$5,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,691.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under46c10,672$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.1271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under50c9,635$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,851.059945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Under49c6,811$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c5,176$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under49c5,005$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.422564%16 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+71.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c5,000$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c4,344$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.7669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under49c4,110$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c3,832$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over50c3,483$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.0714441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over52c3,278$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.3365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under49c3,093$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.434949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over55c3,087$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.153855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e3…23c6backed Under49c2,877$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+482.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over52c2,832$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.926043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c2,594$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.472,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c2,228$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.271,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c2,070$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe58b…ed60backed Over53c2,000$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c1,874$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.9234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c1,837$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.461,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c1,776$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c1,579$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.821,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Over52c1,541$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.438331.3%26 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd9…e5fcbacked Under49c1,537$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.031070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over49c1,500$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7622254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under47c1,500$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7086237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c1,474$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.791,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over49c1,463$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.392653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over48c1,407$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.1212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Over63c1,311$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.123250%16 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c1,246$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c1,200$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,166$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c1,089$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b3…eeaebacked Over49c1,000$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+327.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c1,000$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…9823backed Over49c1,000$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over52c999.99$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under49c995.09$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.618848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under44c971.05$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over54c929.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.3711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c918.81$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.0338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over52c905.41$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over58c827.89$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.952,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over50c698.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.113259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under46c673.91$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Over54c653.23$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.233138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over27c635.79$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over53c602.56$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c599.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under50c585.8$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c526.33$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.852254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over53c500$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.514731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over20c452.93$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under49c445.9$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2182347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e45…1efbbacked Under49c411.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.651050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c394.34$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over51c392.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9318349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over48c392.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8622945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c369.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over48c363.26$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Under49c360$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over53c318.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9915651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.34748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over53c291.13$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under49c281.92$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1378350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under45c281.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7176247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Over52c229.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.459454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over51c221$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.857451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Under48c211.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10124139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c207.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0418850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under48c206.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over52c200.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3627549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.28155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over51c196.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.857951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c195.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3138432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067e…625bbacked Over52c193.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.052937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over52c190.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3811946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Under49c182.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c178.03$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Over54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.924944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under48c135.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c129.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under41c113.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under48c106.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under50c106.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3667949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3259…6e3fbacked Under49c101.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Over51c101.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.948154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.