TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$530,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$548,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Under50c82,624$41,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,311.7637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over48c59,971$28,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,314.414951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c46,116$23,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,119.321,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0006043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c39,634$19,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,81564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c35,419$17,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,998.1269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f0…bad3backed Under51c28,534$14,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,552.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over49c25,880$12,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.0274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under52c24,038$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under43c23,499$10,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,206.124252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c18,165$9,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,901.21,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Over50c17,100$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5501471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over50c15,429$7,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,714.55345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c11,866$5,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,002.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over58c8,211$4,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.4727463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over50c8,198$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0994951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under52c8,085$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2045655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c7,710$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Over50c7,600$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c7,494$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under52c7,453$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.396636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c6,370$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.453943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Over55c6,000$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over50c5,402$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7015940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c5,400$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c5,186$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.72,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over49c5,061$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.065935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over52c4,941$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.6826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0803951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over49c3,910$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.4661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c3,245$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.163,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c3,039$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under48c3,000$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.3221142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5607150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over55c3,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.971,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c2,518$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.3565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c2,464$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under52c2,380$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.4531345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c2,379$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.321,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Under52c2,375$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2353850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under33c2,188$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.98825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c2,080$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04037355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7917246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c1,870$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.1656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under15c1,849$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.344257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under52c1,709$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.885354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Over49c1,690$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.81936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over48c1,641$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.1317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over50c1,550$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7757143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c1,522$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over48c1,497$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.2916642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c1,458$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72918444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over58c1,456$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c1,451$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over56c1,424$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.6417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over51c1,400$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c1,264$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.911,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under52c1,218$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,200$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7108…58e9backed Over58c1,191$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51745146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54618743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over49c1,016$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.1620744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over51c960.94$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c950.39$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Under43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over61c900.88$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.148846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Over50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over65c900$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.511957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under46c900$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4157946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Under33c876.36$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over49c873.01$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.338451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over48c867$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8420051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c858.76$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under16c851.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.315036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under44c850$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3745339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under49c820.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over58c805.02$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1126450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under67c799.98$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.9811242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under50c790$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39518844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb5…5d24backed Under34c739.22$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under46c718.59$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Under52c712.02$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.252653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Over60c708.41$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.812552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under33c690.45$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under52c648.11$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.021,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c609.24$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.172,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Over50c564$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.