TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$510,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$581,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Hawks52c54,434$28,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,204.283545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks49c51,664$25,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,348.851,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Hawks20c49,049$9,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,767.151936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks48c44,693$21,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,240.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Hawks50c40,011$20,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,005.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Hawks51c39,216$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks75c30,194$22,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks50c25,654$12,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,826.948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks58c20,923$12,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,822.5742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks50c19,820$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,819.6220352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks51c19,057$9,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,376.7911864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Hawks51c17,647$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Hawks50c17,061$8,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,530.5214538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks49c16,029$7,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,204.4769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Hawks51c16,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1603447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks80c15,735$12,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.9956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks49c14,873$7,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,308.211,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hawks50c13,562$6,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,780.9687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks48c12,391$5,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,993.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Hawks50c11,435$5,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Knicks51c10,300$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0475347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Knicks50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks50c6,600$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks50c6,252$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks50c6,247$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0006357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks50c5,644$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.1566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Hawks49c5,515$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.4312450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Knicks80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Hawks50c4,952$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.783554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Hawks51c3,888$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9732360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks70c3,559$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.1143269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Hawks50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Knicks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hawks28c2,966$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.4958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Knicks50c2,700$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.713844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe58b…ed60backed Hawks51c2,667$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks64c2,547$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.021,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Knicks50c2,247$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.512646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Knicks51c2,020$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.7217052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Knicks50c2,006$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00315247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…441dbacked Hawks51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks49c1,984$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Hawks6c1,742$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hawks50c1,620$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Hawks48c1,607$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks51c1,588$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Knicks51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.637054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Knicks55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3290…551fbacked Knicks80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Hawks50c1,444$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72221957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks49c1,430$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Knicks50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks50c1,202$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Hawks51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks18c1,116$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.961,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks48c1,108$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.6120051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Hawks50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hawks50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hawks50c1,043$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Hawks18c1,036$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.720838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Hawks10c1,018$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Knicks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Hawks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Knicks49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Knicks49c998.8$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.3965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Hawks51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Knicks50c920.36$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.188848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks80c782$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks50c780$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Hawks51c764.71$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39014753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Hawks51c760.78$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Hawks51c707.84$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36112451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks51c680.39$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Knicks51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.512548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Knicks50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks50c615.91$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.91,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Knicks50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Knicks50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Knicks51c596.77$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Knicks51c590.8$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.410045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Hawks51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Knicks50c504.4$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.236751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Knicks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Knicks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22526339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Hawks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hawks51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Hawks21c466.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Knicks51c450.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.983243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hawks51c431.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Hawks23c429.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Knicks51c414.84$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.845453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.